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| THURSDAY NEWS UPDATE. FIVE PREZ POLLS; SENATE DEMS SHOOT FOR 60; FOUR HOUSE POLLS; THE CAPTURE OF A WAR CRIMINAL. P2008
- DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the
latest independent polls from swing states (and states that appear
to be evolving into swing states): US
SENATE. Will the Dems score a nine-seat pickup this year
and reach the magic 60 mark to be able to block any GOP filibusters?
"It’s very difficult, but it’s not out of the
question. We expect to pick up a whole bunch of seats," said
DSCC Chair Chuck Schumer at a press conference on Wednesday. Here
are the latest independent polls for US Senate races. CONGRESS.
DCCC Chair Chris Van Hollen told Roll Call there are
75 House seats seriously "in play" this year -- and
50 of those seats are currently held by Republicans. The new independent
polls for the US House contests.
WEDNESDAY NEWS UPDATE. ENQUIRER NAILS JOHN EDWARDS VISITING MISTRESS, BABY; NOVAK SAYS HE WAS PLAYED; AND NEW POLLS. VEEPSTAKES
- DEM. Strike former US Senator VEEPSTAKES - GOP. Columnist Robert Novak says several senior officials in the McCain campaign lied to him in an intentional effort to encourage him to report a false story. Novak now believes the "McCain will pick VP this week" story was an entire ruse intended merely to garner headlines but without any truth to the story. P2008
- DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the
latest independent polls from swing states (and states that appear
to be evolving into swing states): US
SENATE. The latest independent polls for US Senate races. CONGRESS.
The new independent polls for the US House contests. TUESDAY NEWS UPDATE. VEEPSTAKES HEAT UP; NEW PREZ POLLS; KEYES GETS ON CALIF BALLOT; US SENATE POLLS.
P2008
- DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the
latest independent polls from swing states (and states that appear
to be evolving into swing states): KEYES.
In a surprising turn of events, the US
SENATE. The latest independent polls for US Senate races. MONDAY NEWS UPDATE. THE USUAL P2008 STUFF (AND THREE NEW POLLS); SEN STEVENS, REP YOUNG TRAIL DEMS IN ALASKA. Hey, let's be candid: this is the really slow season of the election cycle. Yeah, stuff is happening, but so far not much of this current day-to-day will make any big difference come November. Let's see ... Obama is off on his Afghanistan-Iraq-Israel-Europe trip. Phil Gramm resigned as national co-chair of the McCain campaign, presumably to further minimize damage from his "nation of whiners" comment last week. Also, Secretary of State Condi Rice said this to CNN about Obama's candidacy: "I think it's great, and I think it's great for our country" -- but Rice said she is not yet ready to announce which candidate she will be supporting for President (presumably McCain). Thus, let's just get to the new polls ... P2008
- DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the
latest independent polls from swing states (and states that appear
to be evolving into swing states): US
SENATE. The latest independent polls for US Senate races. CONGRESS.
The new independent polls for the US House contests. FRIDAY NEWS UPDATE. LENINISTS FOR McKINNEY; GILMORE REPAYS OWN LOAN; PLUS EIGHT NEW POLLS. QUICK TAKES. P2008: The Workers World Party -- a Marxist-Leninst party -- has decided it will not field a Presidential ticket this year for the first time since 1980. Instead, the WWP is formally endorsing Green nominee Cynthia McKinney for President. In a written statement, the WWP described McKinney's campaign as "Black-led, anti-imperialist, working-class-centered and has a multinational radical base with the potential of unlimited growth." ... VIRGINIA: How committed is former Virginia Governor Jim Gilmore (R) to his run for the open US Senate seat this year? Apparently, not as much as his supporters would have hoped. Although Gilmore is significantly lagging behind Mark Warner (D) in both the polls and fundraising, Gilmore used campaign contributions to repay himself the $50,000 loan he made to the campaign when he first jumped into the contest.
US
SENATE. The latest independent polls for US Senate races. GOVERNOR.
The new independent polls for the gubernatorial contests. THURSDAY NEWS UPDATE. A FEW NEW PREZ AND US SENATE POLLS. P2008
- DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the
latest independent polls from swing states (and states that appear
to be evolving into swing states): US
SENATE. The latest independent polls for US Senate races. WEDNESDAY NEWS UPDATE. McCAIN QUICKLY SHIFTS ON GAY ADOPTION; GA, AL PRIMARY RESULTS; MN FILING CLOSES; PREZ, US SEN & GOV POLLS. P2008.
Speaking over the weekend to the New York Times, John
McCain (R) said "I think that we’ve proven that both
parents are important in the success of a family so, no, I don’t
believe in gay adoption." On Tuesday, P2008
- DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the
latest independent polls from swing states (and states that appear
to be evolving into swing states): GEORGIA. Tuesday was primary day in Georgia. DeKalb County CEO Vernon Jones captured 41% in the five-way Democratic primary for US Senate primary, placing first. Former State Representative Jim Martin was second with 34% and will face Jones in the August 5 run-off. The winner will face incumbent Saxby Chambliss (R) in November. In a big surprise in CD-10, freshman Congressman Paul Broun (R) -- the self-proclaimed ally of libertarian Congressman Ron Paul -- won a landslide 71-29 victory over social conservative military veteran and State Representative Barry Fleming. The local GOP establishment had strongly backed Fleming, but they clearly had little influence over rank-and-file voters as the maverick Broun won easily. Democratic Congressmen John Lewis, John Barrow and David Scott all won their respective renomination races by landslide margins. Click here to view all of the Georgia nominees. ALABAMA. In CD-2, State Representative Jay Love defeated State Senator Harri Ann Smith by a 53% to 47% vote, following in a bruising GOP run-off race. After initially remaining neutral, the NRCC had lined up behind Love in the run-off. Rate Love as a slight favorite over Montgomery Mayor Bobby Bright (D) in November for this open seat. In CD-5, advertising executive and '94/'96 nominee Wayne Parker won the GOP run-off contest by a very lopsided margin. Parker is rated an underdog against State Senator Parker Griffith (D) in general election for the seat being vacated by retiring Congressman Bud Cramer (D). MINNESOTA.
Candidate filing closed on Tuesday. Click here
to view the Minnesota US Senate and Congressional candidates.
A whopping 18 challengers filed to run against US Senator Norm
Coleman (R), including many of the colorful frequent candidates
who run for office every two years. As for US House races, voters
in CD-1, CD-3 and CD-6 will see competitive contests. US
SENATE. The latest independent polls for US Senate races. GOVERNOR.
The new independent polls for the gubernatorial contests. TUESDAY NEWS UPDATE. GA, AL PRIMARY PREVIEW; PREZ, US SEN & GOV POLLS; NC CONGRESSIONAL CHALLENGER SUSPENDS RUN. P2008
- DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the
latest independent polls from swing states (and states that appear
to be evolving into swing states):
ALABAMA. Two Congressional primary run-offs on Tuesday. In CD-2, State Representative Jay Love and State Senator Harri Ann Smith are locked in a nasty and highly competitive GOP race. No clear favorite, although the NRCC has lined up behind Love. The winner will be slightly favored over Montgomery Mayor Bobby Bright (D) in November. Congressman Terry Everett (R) is retiring. In CD-5, advertising executive Wayne Parker should defeat attorney Cheryl Baswell Guthrie (R) by a comfortable margin. However, State Senator Parker Griffith (D) is favored to win the general election for the seat being vacated by retiring Congressman Bud Cramer (D).
GOVERNOR.
The new independent polls for the gubernatorial contests. NORTH
CAROLINA. Move freshman Congressman Heath Shuler (D)
into the safe column, based upon the recent bizarre conduct by
his GOP opponent. According to The Hill, Asheville City
Councilman Carl Mumpower (R) has informally suspended his campaign
until he can get a majority of the fifteen Republican county organizations
in CD-11 to sign his statement of core principles. Until then,
Mumpower said he will not advertise his candidacy or collect any
campaign contributions. "I’ll fight my party first,
and then take on my opponent after we’ve accomplished that
job," said Mumpower. While Mumpower is generating headlines
in his district over these antics, he is alienating leaders of
his own party and the NRCC. "I can go along with him asking
for a recommitment to those principles, but I don’t know
if I go along with him suspending his campaign," said Buncombe
County Republican Party Tim Johnson to the Asheville Citizen-Times. MONDAY NEWS UPDATE. GREENS NOMINATE McKINNEY; NEW MIZZOU POLL; SENATE DEMS QUIETLY THREATEN LIEBERMAN. GREENS.
Former six-term Georgia Congresswoman P2008
- DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the
latest independent polls from swing states (and states that appear
to be evolving into swing states): US SENATE. According to conservative columnist Robert Novak, US Senator Joe "Lieberman (I-CT) will be kicked out of the party's caucus next year and lose his Senate chairmanship if he addresses the Republican National Convention in St. Paul, Minn., as planned." GOVERNOR:
The new independent polls for the gubernatorial contests. WEEKEND NEWS UPDATE. HAGEL, REED TO JOIN OBAMA ON IRAQ TRIP; NRSC EXEC DIR ADMITS PROBLEMS; LOUISIANA FILING CLOSES. P2008.
In an interesting development, US SENATE. NRSC Executive Director Scott Bensing made these comments Friday to the Kansas City Star: "The Republican brand is really bad in many parts of the country, with Kansas being better than many, but still not good. [GOP Senator Pat Roberts versus Democrat Jim Slattery] is not a top-tier race, but it’s one of those where, should Democrats come into a bunch of money, it’d be a race." INDIANA. State Senator John Waterman (R) fell far short of the petition requirements to secure a spot on the ballot as a gubernatorial candidate for his conservative Taxpayers Party. According to Ballot Access News, Waterman collected only 3,000 of the roughly 38,000 signatures needed by the state's deadline. LOUISIANA.
Candidate filing closed in the state on Friday. Click
here for the list of candidates. This year will see the state's
return to traditional-style party primaries, run-offs and general
elections for the first time since the 1970s. Look for a hotly
contested US Senate race between incumbent Mary Landrieu (D) and
State Treasurer John Kennedy (R). There will also be competitive
congressional races in CD-1, CD-2, CD-4, CD-6 and CD-7. In CD-2,
indicted Congressman Bill Jefferson (D) face seven significant
primary challengers.
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SERBIAN
WAR CRIMES. Congratulations to the Serbian government
for the surprise capture this week of genocidal mass-murderer
John
Edwards from the VP hopefuls list. The National Enquirer
secretly stalked Edwards with investigative reporters -- much
like the famous Miami Herald/Gary Hart encounter in 1987
-- until they apparently caught him sneaking out of his purported
girlfriend's room in a Los Angeles hotel at 2:40 am on Tuesday
morning. The newspaper again reported Edwards is the father of
the woman's infant child. Edwards' wife Elizabeth is terminally
ill with cancer. According to the newspaper, Edwards snuck in
through a side entrance, then went downstairs to avoid the lobby
and grab an elevator up, and then reversed the move when leaving.
When the reporters ambushed Edwards upon leaving the room, he
ran into a basement bathroom and remained holed up there for 15
minutes until hotel security was summoned to escort out the reporters.
VEEPSTAKES.
Conservative columnist Robert Novak is placing his reputation
on the line, boldly predicting that John McCain will likely announce
his VP runningmate this week. Novak said the move is intended
to dampen any positive press Barack Obama garners from his Middle
East and European trip this week. McCain is set to meet with Louisiana
Governor Bobby Jindal on Wednesday. McCain met with former NYC
Mayor Rudy Giuliani on Sunday. Mitt Romney's name also is frequently
mentioned as a possible runningmate. Is it all subterfuge? Possibly.
Just like Obama's three trips per day to the gym before departing
for his overseas trip -- which may well have been cover for secret
meetings with VP hopefuls. 
California
Secretary of State has decided to recognize former Ambassador
Alan Keyes -- a former three-time GOP Presidential hopeful --
as the American Independent Party (AIP) Presidential nominee on
the state's November ballot. The AIP is the state affiliate party
of the Constitution Party. The AIP split into two factions last
month, with the faction led by then-State Chairman Ed Noonan endorsing
Keyes for the ballot line. The other AIP faction -- the larger
bloc -- led by several other state party officers deposed Noonan
as Chair and endorsed Constitution nominee Chuck Baldwin for the
AIP ballot line. Both factions held small, rival conventions.
According to 
P2008
- DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the
latest independent polls from swing states (and states that appear
to be evolving into swing states):
McCain's
campaign spokesperson issued a formal statement clarifying (i.e.,
changing) the candidate's position. The new stance: "McCain
could have been clearer in the interview in stating that his position
on gay adoption is that it is a state issue, just as he made it
clear in the interview that marriage is a state issue. He was
not endorsing any federal legislation. McCain's expressed his
personal preference for children to be raised by a mother and
a father wherever possible. However, as an adoptive father himself,
McCain believes children deserve loving and caring home environments,
and he recognizes that there are many abandoned children who have
yet to find homes. McCain believes that in those situations that
caring parental figures are better for the child than the alternative."
In other P2008 news, the Wall Street Journal reports
that the McCain campaign has not asked Minnesota Governor Tim
Pawlenty (R) for any financial records or documents -- seemingly
discrediting the rumors that Pawlenty is near the top of McCain's
VP short list.
GEORGIA.
Tuesday is primary day in Georgia. Five Dems are competing in
the US Senate primary, although any of them will be a decided
underdog against incumbent Saxby Chambliss (R) in November. While
several House incumbents face primary opponents, only two are
engaged in truly competitive primary races. In CD-10, freshman
Congressman Paul Broun (R) -- a self-proclaimed ally of libertarian
Congressman Ron Paul -- is being challenged by social conservative
State Representative Barry Fleming. Broun won the special election
last year in an upset, following the death of Congressman Charlie
Norwood (R). The local GOP establishment is backing Fleming, as
Broun is seen as a loose cannon, but the incumbent appears to
have a slight edge in recent days. In CD-12, Blue Dog Dem Congressman
John Barrow faces a challenge from State Senator Regina Thomas.
Thomas, who is black, is hoping for a large black primary turn-out.
She argues Barrow is a good man but far too conservative to represent
the Democratic Party. Barrow, who is well-financed, believes his
views are solidly in line with the district. 
US
SENATE. The latest independent polls for US Senate races.
Cynthia
McKinney (California) easily won the Green Party nomination for
President on Saturday. "War is not going to be my energy
policy," McKinney told the delegates. She captured 313 votes
(60%) on the first ballot. Ralph Nader (I-CT) -- who did not actively
seek the nomination -- was second with 78.5 votes (15%). McKinney
named hip-hop political activist Rosa Clemente (NY) as her VP
runningmate, which the delegates accepted by a show of hands.
McKinney is also seeking the Peace & Freedom Party nomination
for ballot access in California, and said she intends to qualify
for federal matching funds. Rival Presidential candidates Nader,
Gloria LaRiva (Socialism & Liberation), and Brian Moore (Socialist)
are also seeking the PFP nomination at the August 1-3 convention.
US
Senators Chuck Hagel (R-NE) and Jack Reed (D-RI) will accompany
Barack Obama on his upcoming visit to Iraq. Both Hagel and Reed
are Vietnam War veterans. Also, US Senator Chris Dodd (D-CT) and
Kansas Governor Kathleen Sebelius (D) acknowledged they are each
being extensively vetted as part of the Obama VP search process.
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Re-Elect Broward County Property Appraiser Lori Parrish - Democrat - 2008